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CMBS by the book

Poor Borders (UK).

Beloved by book-buyers and Oxford Street procrastinators everywhere — but not, it seems, enough to keep it in business.

The bookseller announced it was going into administration last week, taking 1,000 jobs and, apparently, some CMBS with it.

From Moody’s on Monday:

London, 30 November 2009 – Moody’s Investors Service has analysed the  EMEA CMBS transactions it monitors in relation to exposure to the  bookshop chain Borders (UK) Limited (“Borders UK”) as a tenant. Borders  UK was placed into administration last week. The administrators continue  to trade all 45 stores while they assess the financial position of the  company and the possibilities to sell the business as a going concern.  Moody’s published its updated central scenarios in March 2009  highlighting that the corporate (tenant) default rates are expected to be  above the historically observed trend. Moody’s incorporated its  heightened default risk expectations for retail tenants while monitoring  and reviewing CMBS transactions over the course of 2009.

Based on the information available to Moody’s, the rating agency has  identified the following three EMEA CMBS transactions that rely to some  extent on rental income from Borders UK: 

- Epic (Culzean) p.l.c.;
- Hercules (Eclipse 2006-4) plc; and
- REC Retail Parks Limited;

Moody’s notes that at present, the current tenant contribution as a  percentage of the total rental income of each transaction ranges between 0.7% and 2.1%. At loan level for multi-borrower transactions, the  percentage of rental income contributed by Borders UK is not higher than  3.5%.

Which means that while the three CMBS deals have some exposure (not more than 3.5 per cent of rental income, to be exact), it’s not enough to warrant a Moody’s downgrade, according to the rating agency, thought it is enough to make them “more sensitive” to further troubles.

From the press release:
Moody’s has analysed the affected loans to assess whether a potential adverse performance of Borders UK (in terms of rental arrears and/or  vacating the properties) would significantly increase the assumed default  risk of the securitised loan. For loans where the default risk could increase, Moody’s analysed the impact of such increased default risk on  the assigned ratings of the Notes. Based on this analysis and on the  information available today, Moody’s is of the opinion that its current  ratings on the outstanding Notes should not be negatively impacted by  such potential adverse performance of Borders UK. However, the  outstanding ratings of affected transactions could become more sensitive to further adverse developments.

Meanwhile – the Borders liquidation continues apace.

With everything — even the bookshelves — available for sale.

Borders closing down - FT Alphaville

CMBS investors presumably have first claim on that discounted Paper Chase wrapping paper (with proof of tranche-holding).

Related links:
The Borders school of bookselling – The Guardian
Borders collapse a sign of changing times – FT

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