For Ladbrokes Coral shareholders this morning, it is not so much a case of Christmas coming early, as a bid coming early, writes Matthew Vincent. GVC Holdings’ wish to buy the High Street bookmaker has been known for months – it has been the worst kept secret in the the FTSE 250. But most people expected the two companies would wait until the outcome of the government review of fixed odds betting terminals – the high-stakes machines that deliver a majority of Ladbrokes’ retail revenues.
Carillion’s full-year trading statement was always going to be the news this morning, whether it happened or not, writes Matthew Vincent. And those betting on further falls in the stricken construction group’s shares probably had money on “not”. In fact, as of last night, Carillion’s own financial calendar still said: “There is no event/s available for current selection” and the company had not confirmed to news websites that any announcement would be forthcoming today.
Thomas Cook, the FTSE 250 tour operator, has been offering so called Black Friday discounts a few days early, according to tabloid newspaper bargain hunters, writes Matthew Vincent. And, given every Friday from now until May is forecast to be largely black from 3:00pm to the following 2.55pm, one can see the appeal of £200 off a sunshine break. But such early price cutting is normally a warning sign, according to broadsheet newspaper profit-warning hunters. So does it mean red ink, rather than black, for the company?
EasyJet boss Dame Carolyn McCall is presenting her last set of annual results this morning – before she leaves the budget airline for broadcaster ITV, writes Matthew Vincent. So this is the last time she will have to endure aeronautical puns and metaphors in every single report of the company’s numbers. That said, with some reports suggesting she’s heading to the departure gate with £5m in salary and shares, she may not mind that at all. So, Opening Quote is happy to offer both treatments/(final) approaches.
Bookmaker William Hill is fancied to extend a recent run of good results, writes Matthew Vincent. Analysts at Investec reckon the FTSE 250 group’s low level of hedging on the recent boxing match between Floyd Mayweather and Conor McGregor will have helped it to outperform rival Ladbrokes Coral.
Marketing types have seized on a quiet Friday for corporate reporting to make an attention-grabbing announcement on the London Stock Exchange’s RNS company news service this morning: “Opportunity to advertise on an iceberg”. “Be the first ever company or individual to have your advertising appear on a real North Atlantic Iceberg and watch as your message goes viral. You’ve heard the expression “it’s only the tip of the iceberg;” be the first to own this expression,” it reads.
Royal Mail’s best result in the last half year has arguably been staving off industrial action ahead of the vital Christmas period, writes Matthew Vincent. It seems the Communication Workers Union – which was disputing pension changes and pay – had not realised a pre-strike mediation agreement was legally binding.
Ladbrokes Coral is updating the market in week two of a 12-week regulatory consultation period that will decide the future of UK betting shops, writes Matthew Vincent. If the government listens to campaigners rather than bookies, and imposes the maximum cut to stakes on fixed-odds betting terminals, hundreds – possibly thousands – of high-street outlets could close, so reliant are they now on these in-store machines.
Marks & Spencer’s seemingly ever-earlier launch of its Christmas TV advert has long been a source of delight to the middle classes and indignation to middle-aged commentators, writes Matthew Vincent. In fact, first sightings of ‘Paddington and the Christmas visitor’ on November 6, a new ad featuring the Peruvian emigre bear, caused one contemporary of Opening Quote to despair: “Just thrown away the Halloween pumpkins and the Christmas ads have started…”.
Is there nothing Disney cannot do? writes Matthew Vincent in this morning’s FT Opening Quote. It has held talks about taking over Rupert Murdoch’s 21st Century Fox, including the US group’s stake in UK-based Sky. It has rescued the Star Wars film franchise from the cringe-inducing antics of Jar-Jar Binks in all those tedious prequels. And now, it seems, it has helped Primark-owner Associated British Foods boost its annual profit by 22 per cent, with a range of keenly-priced Minnie Mouse accessories and strangely persistent press coverage.
Debunking (again) the so-called “Fed model” for equity valuations.
Cashing out of stocks after prices have dropped can make a lot of sense if you’re worried that incompetent policymakers are about to drive your country into a repeat of the Great Depression.
Including… – A Brexit horror story that demonstrates the dangers of clearing mandates. – Carney and the anatomy of a stupid rumour. – Mian and Sufi on shared responsibility mortgages. – Gary Gorton and Guillermo Ordoñez on fighting crises. – A big day in court for the gig economy. How Uber practices control without obligation. And how it found an unlikely friend in organised labour.
It’s not usually a good thing when your biggest export market, biggest source of foreign direct investment, and the country that owns your entire banking oligopoly experiences a major economic slowdown. Yet New Zealand, at least in the past decade or so, watched its fortunes wane as Australia’s mining sector boomed, while the bust in Oz has gone hand-in-hand with stronger growth in Middle Earth.
Elsewhere on Monday, – Not content with paying below minimum wage in urban transit, Uber sets its eyes on paying below minimum wage in aviation (or getting the costs down some other mysterious way). – Brexit is a protectionist lashout against free-markets, argues Ann Petifor. – How a pillar of german banking lost its way.