- Alpha Plus is still losing money
- What the bond market thinks about the prospect of a university crisis
- How the forces of finance fund MBAs
- Introducing the shadow education sector
- Why US investors are betting on European student accommodation
- The Alpha Plus pension problem
- The rise of educational forgery
- For sale: one luxury Georgian townhouse
- Canada's educational exposure to China
- University graduates and the means of financial production
- A business model fit to educate royalty
- American education and the rise of philanthropic capital
- The financial plumbing of university education
- Bailing out the universities
- The temptations of student real estate
- The Egyptian campus that wasn't
- The real student politics
- Cambridge University’s £1bn bet on housing
- University accommodation deals: it's a wrap
- Saudi Arabia vs. Canada, the education angle
The educational balance of payments is finally being accounted for.
- Will Davies on populism, data and experts.
- Robert Kaplan on jobs, oil and credit
- Mithril Capital's Ajay Royan on the next growth frontier
- Banking culture since the crisis
- Weak spots and worries in the global financial system
- The most complicated debt restructuring in history
- Yanis Varoufakis on “radical Europeanism”, erratic Marxism and... Pamela Anderson
- Alphachat on immigration: This time is (mostly) like the others
- Our Bond villain technocracy
- Is the eurozone fixable?
- Could climate change spark the next financial crisis?
- Mehrsa Baradaran on “opportunity zones”
- The math wizard who became a customer loyalty scheme guru
- Alphachat is back! Vol 2.
- Jim Millstein discusses the financialisation of America
- Alphachat is on hiatus this week
- Benn Steil explains the Marshall Plan
- Marcel Fratzscher on the dark side of the German economy — now with transcript!!
- Marcel Fratzscher explores the dark side of the German economy
- Emi Nakamura on calculating inflation
MIT's David Autor on about what we now know about trade
One of the go-to guys on trade litigation between the US and China is Bill Perry, a Seattle-based attorney who spent the 80s at the US International Trade Commission, the Office of Chief Counsel and Office of Antidumping Investigations, and the US Department of Commerce. While tackling all sorts of anti-dumping and countervailing duty cases, he runs a blog that covers what it says on the tin: US China Trade War And if you ask him about the fast-escalating case involving China’s ZTE Corp, Bill will offer you one word: Hòumén (back door or 后门 in simplified Chinese.
While, sometimes, moments of unique creativity from those trying to get money out of China come out from behind the curtain to take a bow — losing a lawsuit on purpose and ants moving house, for example — the really large flows outwards have remained pretty opaque. Less opaque now though. Both Christopher Balding and Deutsche’s chief China economist Zhiwei Zhang have taken a long hard look at how capital is flying out of China, despite capital controls which shouldn’t be sniffed at… but clearly are to a large extent. tl;dr: It’s the over-reporting imports that we should blame.
Earlier this month at the annual meetings of the American Economic Association in San Francisco, Justin Yifu Lin argued that China’s growth slowdown has been mainly the result of external and cyclical factors rather than structural transformation. His case rests on the idea that other East Asian and emerging-market economies had also decelerated in recent years, some of which — Hong Kong, Singapore, Taiwan — do not have the same structural problems that are thought to plague China’s economy. Furthermore, Brazil’s decline has been much sharper than China’s, while India in 2012 also slowed dramatically before rebounding; China can rebound too.
We don’t think of China as an oil producer. And yet, it very much is. China’s oil production in 2014 amounted to about 4.2 mbpd in 2014, according to BP statistics — equal to that of Canada’s production at 4.2 mbpd in 2014 and nearly double that of Nigeria’s at 2.4 mbpd. Then, of course, there’s the mark-to-market value of China’s strategic petroleum reserve, which the country has been building up for years. We don’t know the actual size of the SPR because the numbers are not public, but oil experts say it stands close to 100m barrels, with a sizeable portion of the reserve built up during the $80-$100 per barrel price era.