Bid goodbye to the price-to-earnings ratio, says the WSJ. The ratio, once the holy grail of value investing, is becoming less and less important as economic uncertainty grows. Stocks plunged in the second quarters despite record profits from firms, after all, with the stock market’s average price-to-earnings ratio tumbling by more than a third in the past year. Spreads between analyst forecasts of companies’ expected earnings have also widened from $12 to $15, indicating a broad uncertainty in the market.
Well under a third of stock ratings are now ‘buy’ ratings too, for the first time since at least 1997, reports Bloomberg, with Berkshire Hathaway among them — despite a profits increase of 36 per cent. Economists have still used the heavily discounted P/E ratios to argue that the market has already priced in heavy losses from deflation or a double dip — to no real avail, notes FT Alphaville. Read more
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