Posts tagged 'Rio Tinto'

GlenTinto – fact or fiction

You’ve seen the story.

Now here’s some reaction. Read more

Movement in Mongolia

We hear, from sources close to the Mongolian Prime Minister’s office, that a tax dispute with Rio Tinto has been solved. A $130m tax bill has been negotiated down to $30m.

The dispute had been one of the few remaining stumbling blocks in the way of agreement on a deal to begin development on the next phase of Oyu Tolgoi. This is an enormous copper-mining project that promises to transform the Mongolian economy.

Don’t count your chickens too soon, however. Usually knowledgeable people point out that Rio is yet to get the settlement in writing. The way in which the penalty is classified also matters — the company won’t agree to something that puts the investment agreement at risk by changing the underlying tax terms.

Still, it is the latest sign of movement to emerge from Ulaanbaatar in recent days. Read more

Turquoise — still the colour of money in Mongolia?

Decision time approaches for Mongolia, Rio Tinto and Turquoise Hill on Oyu Tolgoi, the enormous copper mining project that could one day represent about a third of the landlocked nation’s economy.

Since we reported that Mongolia’s yet to be created sovereign wealth fund could take an equity stake in Turquoise (which releases earnings after the close in Toronto on Tuesday), one deadline has been extended, the mining minister has done his best to wind up investors, China has reasserted itself and Tony Blair has popped up.

All of which means that a deal to start work on the underground part of the mine (phase II), funded by $4bn of loans by commercial banks and multilateral lenders, is very close. But it remains caught up in Mongolian politics, and may not hit the March 31 deadline on which the funding hangs. Read more

The colour of money in Mongolia? Turquoise

Warning! Read the boiler plate here

What follows concerns the likely actions of the government in Ulaanbaatar, which is pretty much the definition of a frontier market and all the perils that go with it. With that warning, come with us to Mongolia.

What we hear, from sources with a record of reliability, is that the government is strongly considering the purchase of a small stake in Turquoise Hill, the mining company controlled by Rio Tinto. Read more

Breaking up is hard to do – Rio Tinto edition

In the M&A hall of shame, Rio Tinto’s top-of-the-market $37bn acquisition of Alcan (in CASH) is right up there. In this century, at least.

It was a truly disastrous deal that nearly killed the Anglo-Australian mining company and its after-effects are being felt to this day. Just ask Tom Albanese. Read more

The best laid plans of miners and men

It was supposed to be one of the best trades of 2013 – buy mining stocks to get leveraged upside to the global economic turnaround. But as we approach the end of the first quarter, only one half of that equation is working. The world economy is recovering strongly but the big miners are being well and truly left behind – Australian Financial Review.

Yep, the miners as a ‘leveraged play on global growth” is not going exactly to plan: Read more

Xstrata 2.0 (or what Mick did next)

What now for Xstrata CEO Mick ‘The Miner’ Davis?

Bloomberg thinks it has the answerRead more

Rio and the $115bn capital return

Sam Walsh, the new Australian boss of Rio Tinto has probably never heard of Tony Pidgley, the chairman of upmarket UK housebuilder Berkeley Homes.

Which is a pity because Pidgley, adopted from Barnardo’s at the age of four by travellers, could give him some tips on how to run a cyclical business and maximise returns to shareholders. (Something, of course, his predecessor conspicuously failed to do). Read more

A message from Sam

The new Rio boss has a few nice words about his predecessor, followed by a flash of steel, in a letter to staff. And it’s about all you’re likely to hear from Walsh until annual results on Valentines Day. Read it after the jump:  Read more

The Rio Tinto domino

John Kemp at Thomson Reuters has pointed us in the direction of colleague Clara Ferreira-Marques’ piece on the likely repercussions of Rio Tinto’s $14bn revaluation of aluminium and coal assets last week. As she notes, it’s almost certain that Rio Tinto’s hit will now set the stage for a wave of writedowns across the industry. Read more

The Albanese years (updated)

A final word on Thursday’s defenestration of Rio boss Tom Albanense (via JP Morgan).

 Read more

Oh, Rio, Rio….

Nothing short of an RNS fit for framing from Rio Tinto this Thursday morning:

Rio Tinto expects to recognise a non-cash impairment charge of approximately US$14 billion (post tax) in its 2012 full year results. These impairments include an amount of approximately US$3 billion relating to Rio Tinto Coal Mozambique (RTCM), as well as reductions in the carrying values of Rio Tinto’s aluminium assets (mostly Rio Tinto Alcan (RTA) but also Pacific Aluminium) in the range of US$10-11 billion. The Group also expects to report a number of smaller asset write-downs in the order of US$500 million. The final figures will be included in Rio Tinto’s full year results on 14 February 2013.

 Read more

The spent force in iron ore?

We are, of course, talking about Fortescue Metals Group, the self-styled New Force in Iron Ore.

In spite of Tuesday’s cost cutting measures and Wednesday’s US$300m sale and leaseback of a power station, its share price has taken another shoeing. Read more

Australia’s capex cliff

Here’s a bold call: the developed world’s fastest growing (that’s Australia for those of you at the back of the class) will fall in to recession next year as the China-driven mining investment boom ends.

Given the recent declines in Chinese steel prices and spot iron ore price, Deutsche Bank economist Adam Boyton reckons Australia’s terms of trade (the price of exportable goods divided by price of importable goods) could be 15 per cent lower year-on-year by the fourth quarter. Read more

Iron ore floor becomes iron ore trapdoor

Where will the new floor be? Iron ore is still falling below the $120/tonne mark…

Iron ore spot price - Reuters - August 22, 2012 Read more

BHP’s untimely dilemma: shrinking cash flows

As low cost producers, with arguably the best resources  in the world, it’s little wonder that BHP Billiton and Rio Tinto are shipping as much iron ore as they possible can from their mines in the desolate Pilbara region of Western Australia.  Assuming a $7/tonne freight rate, Lex estimates, the landed iron ore price in China would have to fall to $37/t before Rio lost out.

So even with the iron price at a near three-year low of $112 , Rio and to a lesser extent BHP are making a killing and will continue to do so as higher cost producers (mainly Chinese) fall by the way side. Read more

The Aussie dollar – from South Pacific peso to Southern franc

It can’t be much fun being an Australian in London at the moment. (Trailing the Brits is one thing, but lagging the Kiwis in the medal table must really hurt.)

But at least our antipodean visitors can afford to indulge in a little retail therapy at Westfield Stratford City (the Australian dollar is trading close to a record high against the British pound) or, if they are really embarrassed, hop on the Eurostar to Paris (where the dollar hit a record high against the eurothingy just last week). Read more

Steel demand is endless

A BHP executive’s comments about Chinese steel demand growth flattening have gone viral, with lots of market reports pointing to Ian Ashby’s words to explain European markets closing lower yesterday and falling Asian stocks today.

From the Australian Financial ReviewRead more

The supercycle is so over, iron ore edition

From Bloomberg:

BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest mining company, said China’s steel production is slowing as the world’s fastest-growing major economy starts to shift to focus more on consumers than large building projects. Read more

BHP raises iron ore production forecasts

BHP Billiton, the world’s biggest mining company, has increased forecasts for its iron ore division after a record-breaking performance from its operations in the Pilbara region of Western Australia. The FT reports BHP said it had mined 41m tonnes of iron ore in three months to the end of December and now expected full year production to exceed its previous guidance of 159m tonnes. Analysts had expected BHP produce around 39m tonnes of ore during the quarter. Iron ore is BHP’s biggest business and is forecast to account for 40 per cent of group earnings before interest in the 2011/12 financial year. The news help allay mounting concerns about China’s appetite for iron ore, a key ingredient in steel making.

Caterpillar and Rio take on unions in Canada

On Sunday, Caterpillar locked out about 450 union workers at a locomotive plant in London, Ontario, while Rio Tinto Alcan locked out about 800 union workers in Quebec at a smelting plant. Workers have been pushing back against cost-cutting drives by employers, who are increasingly pushing back, reports the WSJ. Caterpillar is seeking to negotiate a new contract with its workers, and a spokesman for the company said the lockout would continue until one is agreed. Meanwhile union officials said that the latest offer from the company would see wages cut in have and benefits slashed. Rio Tinto has been in negotiations with its unionised workers since October.

Snap news

Breaking pre-market news on Monday,

– Rio Tinto says customers are now more cautious — statementRead more

Steeling for more commodities volatility

Remember when Vale and BHP, two of the world’s biggest iron ore miners, changed their pricing contract methods with China and Japan?

The move from annual to quarterly contracts came amid resurging Chinese demand for iron ore, which put the miners in a powerful position. Read more

Mongolia retreats on row over Rio mine

The government of Mongolia has backed down from its demand for a larger share of Oyu Tolgoi, one of the world’s biggest new copper mines, in an about-turn that boosted the share price of Rio Tinto, the FT reports. In a joint statement, the Mongolian government, Rio and Ivanhoe Mines – Rio’s joint venture partner – said the three parties had “reaffirmed their continued support” for the 2009 Oyu Tolgoi Investment Agreement, a contract that started a mining boom in copper and coal-rich Mongolia. The statement ended two tense weeks for investors, who are increasingly seeing resource-rich countries attempt to raise taxes on miners and claim larger stakes in top projects.

Dear Lloyds: nobody wants to buy your bank

— By Neil Collins —

Dear Lloyds: nobody wants to buy your bank Read more

Mongolia presses for bigger stake on key mine

The government of Mongolia is seeking a bigger stake in Oyu Tolgoi, the biggest undeveloped copper mine in the world, the FT reports, in a surprise move that underlines the challenges ahead for Rio Tinto and Ivanhoe Mines as they develop the country’s flagship mining project. The government of Mongolia has asked to reopen discussions over the 2009 investment agreement for Oyu Tolgoi, a project widely considered to be a litmus test for future mining developments, following mounting pressure from parliamentarians and environmentalists. Meanwhile commodities companies which were expected to invest billions of dollars in Zambia’s mining sector over the next five years, including Glencore, First Quantum, Barrick Gold and Vale, are wary that the country’s new president, Michael Sata, may put past threats against foreign investors into practice now that he has been elected, the FT reports separately.

Blood and iron (ore)

It was only a couple of months ago that Vale was talking up iron ore prices out to 2015 and beyond, and analysts were saying the discount being applied to company shares on expectations of a glut were too steep.

Moreover, Marius Kloppers and Tom Albanese were both cautioning that building up the planned new capacity that might take longer than expected. Read more

Rio Tinto warns of slowdown in demand

Rio Tinto, one of the world’s largest natural resources companies, has warned that some of its customers were asking to delay shipments of metals, the FT reports. The warning represents a marked shift in industry sentiment from only six weeks ago, when most miners, commodities traders and oil groups painted a bullish outlook for commodities demand and prices despite falling equity markets. “It is noticeable that markets are somewhat weaker,” said Rio Tinto chief executive Tom Albanese in an interview. “In a few cases, customers are asking to reschedule deliveries. “This is consistent with customers being cautious about the current state of business.”

Snap news

Breaking pre-market news on Monday,

– Rio Tinto and Anglo American to sell Palabora Mining shares —statement and statementRead more

Canaries and mines

Nothing has been harder hit in the current market swoon (in London at least) than the mining sector.

 Read more