David Rosenberg‘s latest morning note has some interesting observations on the behaviour of investors and the cult of personality that seems to have arisen around former-bank slayer Meredith Whitney:
We thought that the ability of one person to move the market went out three decades ago with Henry Kaufmann over at Salomon Bros., but Meredith Whitney did manage to do the same – in a bullish fashion, though – with her CNBC remarks on Goldman yesterday morning. (Although, it was interesting that Dell’s reduced guidance for the current quarter garnered little attention.) What was interesting was how she stressed that this was not an industry-wide comment but rather specific to the firm and yet this was the tide that lifted all boats across the financials and the entire stock market for that matter. What this tells us is that even after 12 years of no appreciation in equities, and after brutal bear markets seven years apart, the public’s resolve in the stock market has not been shaken. The fact that the equity market could rally this much based on one analyst’s commentary is testament to the view of how badly investors want to believe that the recession and credit crunch are behind us and that unbridled prosperity lies ahead. As WTO Director-General Pascal Lamy said yesterday, “I would caution against excessive optimism.” Read more
1We cannae give the economy no more, we're giv'n it all we've got Captain
2On what really is different this time around
3The case for official e-money +1
4The WMP whack, revisited
5Hacking and property prices make the BoE big league
Show more6Mediocrity and the civil service in China
7Tax needn't be taxing. It can also be a Hungarian debt wheeze
8"Companies should know who really owns them..."
9The central bank (communications) bubble
10When liquidity meets control in China [updated with credit crunch probability]
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