Posts tagged 'Goldman'

Goldman vs China’s statisticians

Goldman’s updated activity indicator sees Chinese growth at roughly 5 per cent, way off the official figure of 6.9 per cent. Awkward.

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How big is your bailout? China stock market edition

Estimates of how much cash China has flung at its stock market, in the hope that some sticks, vary.

As the FT says, the “government has not disclosed either the amount of rescue funds it has allocated to the coalition of state financial institutions — known as the “national team” — or how much of this total has already been invested.”

But all estimates tend to settle, roughly, on different quantities of “lots”.

First up then, a Goldman note out on Wednesday which estimates that said ‘national team’ “has potentially spent Rmb860-900bn [some $144bn] to support the stock market in June-July 2015… equivalent to 1.6%/2.2% of total market cap/free float market cap”:

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A capital contango, and why oil storage economics may be dead

$80 oil, $70 oil, $60 oil, $50 oil and counting… If you suspect the structure of the oil market has fundamentally changed, you may be on to something.

There was a time when all you needed to balance oversupply in the oil market was the ability, and the will, to store oil when no-one else wanted to.

That ability, undoubtedly, was linked to capital access. For a bank, it meant being able to pass the cost of storing surplus stock over to commodity-oriented passive investors and institutions happy to fund the exposure. For a trading intermediary, that generally meant having good relations with a bank which could provide the capital and financing to store oil, something the bank would do (for a fee) because of its ability to access institutional capital markets and its reluctance to physically store oil itself. Read more

A trip to the Tripoli casino

Q. How do you tell the $65bn sovereign wealth fund of a notoriously erratic government that it might lose all its money on trades you arranged for them?

A. Very carefully.

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Goldman’s new improved view on the oil sell-off

Earlier this month Goldman Sachs put out a note arguing that whilst their overall view was still bearish, the oil price sell-off thus far had been too much too soon.

The spot market fundamentals, they noted, were in balance — meaning that if anything was driving a “change” in demand it was curve repositioning, mostly by overly anxious speculators who had decided an exit was warranted despite the balanced fundamentals.

This, however, is no longer Goldman’s view. Read more

Goldman explains concept of queueing

When a lot of customers want to get their property out of the warehouse at the same time, a line forms…

Although Goldman is ready to swap you if you don’t like queueing in the LME warehouse system. Statement’s here. This is how it ends: Read more

A glorious episode in the history of the Revenue

The risks here are major embarrassment to the ChX, HMRC, the LBS, you and me, not least if GS withdraw from the Code

‘ChX’ =  Read more

Goodbye, Jim O’Neill

Jim O’Neill, chairman of Goldman Sachs Asset Management, Red Knight, and all-round Mr Bric, will retire later this year, the bank announced on Tuesday.

The full statement follows… Read more

Les Miser-NAV-ables

Well, it’s a revolution! Apparently.

This is Goldman’s first report on its money market funds to disclose daily net asset values (h/t Tracy): Read more