Posts tagged 'Eurozone Breakup'

The surprisingly long path to US monetary union

Kate is FT AV’s Asia Correspondent. She joined FT Alphaville in mid-2011 after carrying out various roles in the FT’s London office since 2005: interactive editor, companies reporter, and founding editor of the FT’s Energy Source blog.

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| Jan 29 10:07 | Comment |

European monetary union: so troubled, so awkward and ill-conceived, et cetera.

And so… speedy?

We spent a bit of time last year pondering precedents and possible scenarios for monetary union break-ups, of which there are few with much appeal. But Deutsche Bank strategist Stuart Parkinson makes the interesting argument that it took about 147 years for the US to become a monetary union. Read more

Balkanisierung

David joined the FT in 2011 as a Marjorie Deane fellow. He covered emerging markets, equities and currencies before making the jump over to FT Alphaville in May 2012.

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| Aug 29 2012 16:11 | Comment |

Here’s a call from Sober Look on Tuesday — Germany’s growth might be on the cusp of going negative:

So much for the hopes and dreams of German decoupling from the Eurozone’s economic troubles. How things have changed in just six months… Germany’s growth trajectory is now converging with the rest of the euro area’s weakened economic conditions. Read more

Learning by imagining (nightmare Eurexit scenarios)

Kate is FT AV’s Asia Correspondent. She joined FT Alphaville in mid-2011 after carrying out various roles in the FT’s London office since 2005: interactive editor, companies reporter, and founding editor of the FT’s Energy Source blog.

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| Jul 03 2012 11:50 | Comment |

FT Alphaville didn’t enter the Wolfson economics competition, in part because our pizza drawing skills don’t pass muster, but Nomura’s Jens Nordvig and Nick Firoozye did. Their entry landed them one of the five finalist spots (more about those here).

Ahead of the announcement of the winner on Thursday, the pair have published a rather interesting and disturbing list of what they learned in the process of eurozone breakup solutionising. It won’t please anyone who’s been arguing that a break-up might not be such a big deal. Here’s a tl;dr version of their list of grim learnings: Read more

Eurozone breakup as a central scenario

Izabella Kaminska joined FT Alphaville in October 2008. Before that she worked as a producer at CNBC, a natural gas reporter at Platts and an associate editor of BP's internal magazine.

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| Jan 24 2012 19:39 | Comment |

Capital Economics has been envisaging a Eurozone breakup since at least 2010, but they’ve just got a little more concrete about this being their central scenario:

Risky asset markets have generally made a bright start to 2012. But our central scenario envisages a break-up of EMU this year initially involving Greece’s departure, an outcome that would presumably dampen investors’ optimism. Read more