Dario Perkins at Lombard Street Research has a great little note out on Tuesday arguing why it’s absolutely wrong to assume the current bond sell-off is in any shape or form a repeat of 1994.
As he notes (our emphasis): Read more
Dario Perkins at Lombard Street Research has a great little note out on Tuesday arguing why it’s absolutely wrong to assume the current bond sell-off is in any shape or form a repeat of 1994.
As he notes (our emphasis): Read more
Last November John Hempton wrote an amusing post arguing that Ben Bernanke’s problem was that the Fed’s credibility was too high, thus creating a liquidity trap, and to solve this Bernanke should do something crazy like appear on television wearing a Hawaiian shirt and smoking a spliff.
John Kay’s latest FT column looks at the problem of credibility, although more in a fiscal than a monetary context. As he points out, we frequently hear now that credibility is the problem besetting heavily-indebted governments. Credibility is seen as a kind of panacea but Kay points out it’s only a very recent concept in economics: not in Keynes, not in Smith, not in Marshall. It dates back to a 1979 article by Finn Kydland and Edward Prescott, he says, who won a Nobel economics award for their work on the subject. Read more
Bond vigilantes — per James Carville — are intimidating things.
And no more so than in Europe. Rising bond yields in the region have managed to force austerity onto places like Greece, and are currently testing political will in Italy. Read more
Here’s a bit more on why the UK government’s massive spending review has had, and will likely have, less than a massive influence on the market for its bonds.
In fact — the government is detailing its cuts amid gilt yields that have rarely been lower in post-war history. Read more
1'Collectively, humanity has yawned and decided to let the dangers mount'
2Man walks into a gold bar. Au!
3The end of QE?
4FT Alphaville is hiring again
5Rise of the funding altruists
Show more6Bird, plane, Abe
7The persistent supply-side constraints in US housing
8That sighing sound you hear from China
9Bove vs Bloomberg, redux
10Risk goes on, Risk goes off
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