Posts Tagged ‘

volcker rule

Volcker turns the screw on Goldman

One of the more beguiling aspects of the detail-lite Volcker rule, as unveiled by President Obama late last month, was the notion that Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley could side-step all of the more draconian aspects of this regulatory clampdown by simply tearing up their puny deposit-taking licenses. More…

Five ‘negatives’ and one ‘mixed’ – the BarCap take on US regulatory reform

Tricky presenting this table in viewable form, but here goes…

Click to enlarge, obviously. It’s in two parts.

You’ve got to feel for the bank analysis community right now. The Basel Committee comes out with a load of Basel, More…

Volcker rule hits JPM’s Sempra deal

Ah, the Volcker rule: a godsend for non-bank associated market makers and trading houses — including the big physical commodity trading business — but not so good for trading divisions found within commercial banks. More…

Moody’s chimes in on the Volcker rule

We’ve had plenty of analyst reaction on the Volcker rule, but we’ve yet to see any set-pieces from the ratings agencies. So it’s with much interest that we read a compendium of Moody’s comment on financial market reform — including the Volcker rule, More…

European banks need €83bn

Yep. Another day and (yet) another note on the impact of the Basel proposals.

And this one is pretty frightening.

Morgan Stanley’s Huw van Steenis reckons Europe’s big banks will need to find €83bn by 2012, More…

Prop(er) pictorial irony at Barclays

More proprietary trading pictorial irony here and here.

Related link:
Barclays plays down impact of Obama proposals – WSJ

Financial reform checklist

Here’s a useful thing from Barclays Capital banking analysts Jonathan Glionna and Miguel Crivelli.

It’s a checklist of the steps to various financial reforms; Financial reform being, for the moment, More…

Bonkers Bove, the blueprint

As an addendum to Monday’s political rant, Rochdale Securities banking analyst Dick Bove has made a flow chart. 
It is, by his own admission, rather “poorly drawn,” but it looks like this:  More…

Who’s afraid of the Volcker rule?

John Kemp, columnist at Reuters, admits there is no easy way of identifying how much money the major banks make from prop trading.

However, he points out there is a way to breakdown which banks depend most heavily on trading income rather than investment or commercial banking activities. More…

Really Bove-erred over Volcker

First, the Volcker rule was going to be good for banks like Goldman Sachs.

Now, it’s going to cause an almighty market crash.

What’s more, Barack Obama is like Hugo Chavez; The rich are being prevented from being enriched; More…

The background to the Volcker rule

Because background briefings for the media are fun, and interesting, and something that the public don’t often get to see, here’s the transcript of the press rundown for the Volcker rule unveiled last week. More…

The bank problem in a single chart

In the wake of Obama’s dramatic financial reform proposals, released last week and aimed at breaking up the biggest banks, Deutsche Bank strategist Jim Reid is reprinting an updated version of one of his most controversial charts: More…

CDS report: Bonds hold firm while CDS retreat

Markit’s Gavan Nolan wrote this CDS report

The decade began with the optimists in the ascendancy, at least in the financial markets. Recoveries are under way in the major economies, with Q4 2009 GDP figures expected to show solid growth. More…

Dumas on Volcker

Here’s Charles Dumas of Lombard Street Research with an aggressively “pro” take on the Volcker rule…
Obama-Volcker on target, avoid Glass-Steagall
The furore over bankers’ bonuses illustrates one aspect of current financial market conduct that has wide implications: More…

The Volcker effect on PE

As speculation over the impact of the Volcker vagaries on banks’ ownership of private equity assets continues, the Private Equity Council in New York has done a quick tally-up of banks’ direct investment in PE funds. More…

The market-maker problem

Reuters uber-columnist John Kemp has penned some thoughts about the ‘Volcker rule’, and according to him the biggest problem facing the implementation of the prop trading ban will be differentiating internal speculative business from market-making activity. More…

That Goldman hit

Goldman Sachs, and others, say proprietary trading accounts for circa 10 per cent of net revenues – though that may vary considerable from quarter to quarter. Here, however, is an interesting datapoint. More…

Obama the communist!

Oh dear, oh dear.

Some members of the right-leaning American punditariat are not best pleased with Obama’s Glass-Steagallesque ‘Volcker rule’ announcement at all.

Take CNBC’s Dennis Kneale, who made his feelings known via Twitter on Thursday. More…

The Volcker rule, the European analysts react (part II)

Next up on our compendium of analyst reaction — some commentary from the European analysts.

And, as with the US banks, it’s notable that opinion is also rather divided about the potential impacts of Obama’s financial reform proposals on European banks. More…

Think tank conceit

Earlier this week the Demos think tank published a hectoring report entitled Bailed-Out Megabanks Go Right On Gambling (But Now with Taxpayer Support).

So on Thursday Demos announced:
Obama Administration More…

Can Goldman really dodge the Volcker rule?

Dick Bove seemed to think so earlier, saying “buy” Goldman, just as the stock fell 5 per cent. But there’s been such confusion (and a lack of detail) on the Obama administration’s proposals that we should spare the Rochdale Securities’ man the chance to revise his views. More…

Whither Highbridge, GSAM…Citadel?

Off the bat, there are some obvious hedge fund losers – or at this stage, to be clear, potential losers – from the wide-ranging Obama/Volcker financial reform package unveiled on Thursday.

Highbridge Capital is, More…