Posts Tagged ‘

moody’s

Moody’s downgrades Portugal on… Greece fears

Well, sort of. The full rationale behind Portugal’s downgrade to Ba2 from Baa1, with negative outlook, is pasted below.

Moody’s offers two main reasons. The second is Portugal’s ongoing high-debt-low-growth mash-up. More…

Things affected by a US downgrade

Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHLBs.
Liabilities guaranteed by the FDIC.
Some pre-funded municipal bonds.
Federal lease transactions.
Certain structured finance deals.
Some Israeli government bonds. More…

Tail risk italiano

Italian banks have had a rough ride recently.

Stocks have been falling and CDS spreads are rising as the banks grapple with a Moody’s warning, various capital increases, concern about contagion, and various corporate governance issues. More…

Moody’s on Spanish regional debt

Because what the world needed, as Europe stumbles toward some kinds of resolution for Greece, was another Moody’s warning.

Today’s edition is on Spanish regional debt (we’ve highlighted the main bits): More…

Danske Bank breaks up with Moody’s over mortgages

Last week, from Bloomberg:
Danske Bank A/S’s mortgage lending unit Realkredit Danmark told Moody’s Investors Service to discontinue its ratings of the company as it creates a separate capital unit for its adjustable-rate mortgages. More…

Moody’s thinks about thinking about the US debt rating

A bit of ground-softening here as Moody’s plays catchup to S&P (emphasis ours):
New York, June 02, 2011 — Moody’s Investors Service said today that if there is no progress on increasing the statutory debt limit in coming weeks, More…

Credit rating cliff risk, redux

And the slow drain of financial crisis support from formerly ‘TBTF’ banks continues apace.

On Thursday, Moody’s announced it would be putting the credit ratings of Bank of America, Citigroup and Wells Fargo on review for downgrade after taking a closer look at incoming financial reform: More…

Greece lightning

If you thought those Greek downgrades were flying thick and fast, you’d be right. According to Evolution’s Brian Barry, Greek ratings are falling about 30 times the average rate:

Moody’s downgrades Greece to Caa1, sees even chance of default

The slope just got slippier. Here’s the rating summary released by Moody’s on Wednesday evening (emphasis ours):
Moody’s Investors Service has today downgraded Greece’s local and foreign currency bond ratings to Caa1 from B1, More…

Sovereign ratings still relevant – but mostly when they go negative

Just in case you were wondering.

Bond markets still react to sovereign ratings announcements, though they tend to react more when the rating agencies say something negative. That’s the conclusion of a new working paper from the European Central Bank, More…

Snap news

Breaking pre-market news on Tuesday,

- Moodys to review UK bank ratings — statement.

- Marks & Spencer lifts dividends by 13 per cent; cautious on outlook — statement.

- De La Rue announces corporate shake-up; More…

Surprise – Moody’s accidentally rates a bond too low

Is there a Type III ratings error category? Where rating agencies completely misidentify what kind of bond they’re rating? Awkward:

(H/T Sam Jones of Moody’s rating error fame)

Spanish covered bond disclosure. It’s the (unheeded) law

Moody’s is on the warpath against sketchy Spanish structured finance data again.

But this time the agency’s sites are firmly set on the mother of all SF — covered bonds.

Remember, covered bonds are meant to be ultra-safe — almost to the same degree as sovereigns bonds — and Spain has spent many of the previous months trying to soothe investors with new disclosure rules. More…

S&P has another go at Japan

Amid a stream of gloomy forecasts for Japan’s economic outlook this year, it was a downgrade that had to happen at some point, though some were left wondering whether S&P’s move on Wednesday to cut its outlook for Japan’s sovereign debt from “stable” to “negative” More…

One step from junk

Moody’s has cut Ireland’s sovereign rating by two notches to Baa3 on Friday and with the outlook on negative the Irish find themselves one step from junk.

From Moody’s:
Frankfurt am Main, April 15, More…

Strange Spanish structured finance data

“Standardisation of disparate Spanish investor reporting would enhance transaction data quality” is a nice way of saying “Stop jerking us around with your weirdo Spanish structured finance data!”

It’s also the title of a piece by Ludovic Thebault and Ariel Weil in Moody’s latest Credit Insight. More…

Supply and demand under the debt ceiling, then and now

Consider this post an appendix to our earlier one on the economic impact of a government shutdown. Here we look at how the approaching debt ceiling limit could disrupt the market for US treasuries. We’ve reported on this before, More…

Moody’s gives CLOs a (big) ratings break

Quelle convenience.

Just as the market for new Collateralised Debt Obligations is heating up (in the US anyway, the European market is still frozen by those new skin-in-the-game securitisation rules), More…

Japan, to buy or not to buy?

It’s still early days yet on the “what next” question about Japan, but as we noted on Monday, there are some intriguingly counter-intuitive lines emerging on the question of whether to ‘buy’ (or ‘sell’) Japan in the wake of the devastating March 11 earthquake and tsunami and ensuing crisis at the Fukushima nuclear power plant. More…

The ripple effect reaches local US governments

The municipal bond market has calmed in the last two weeks as the flight from disaster ushers in a return to relatively safe havens.

But as two annual reports released by Moody’s on Thursday make clear, More…

Moody’s downgrades Portugal to A3 from A1

So concludes the credit rating agency’s latest review of the eurozone periphery, which began in December.

From the Moody’s release on Tuesday evening (extracts):
Moody’s Investors Service has today downgraded Portugal’s long-term government bond ratings to A3 from A1 and assigned a negative outlook. More…

Shooting the messenger – Spanish edition

It’s not quite as forceful as the Greek response — not yet anyway — but Spain has hit back at Thursday’s Moody’s downgrade.

Via Reuters:
RTRS-SPAIN’S TREASURY SAYS SURPRISED BY MOODY’S DOWNGRADE BEFORE BANK OF SPAIN BANK CAPITALISATION DATA. More…

Moody’s downgrades Spain, FROB to Aa2

Here we go again.

On Thursday, Moody’s downgraded Spain’s sovereign credit rating to Aa2 from Aa1, and also that of the FROB, its Fondo de Reestructuración Ordenada Bancaria.

Here’s the statement, More…

Shoot the messenger [updated]

How’s this for an ad hominem:
RTRS-GREECE SAYS MOODY’S DOWNGRADE COMPLETELY UNJUSTIFIED -FIN MINISTRY

RTRS-GREECE SAYS TIMING, SIZE OF DOWNGRADE ARE INCOMPREHENSIBLE, RAISES QUESTIONS

RTRS-GREECE SAYS MOODY’S DOWNGRADE SHOWS NEED FOR TIGHTER REGULATION OF RATING AGENCIES
Incidentally, More…

Moodys downgrades Greece to B1 from Ba1 [Updated]

Moody’s has downgraded Greece to B1 from Ba1 on Monday, a move which follows Greek five-year credit default swaps hitting 1049 basis points last Friday.

Here’s the statement:
London, 07 March 2011 — Moody’s Investors Service has today downgraded Greece’s government bond ratings to B1 from Ba1, More…

One of these ratings opinions is not like the other

Below are three rating agency opinions on Sequoia Mortgage Trust 2011-1 — which cobbles together mostly California-based mortgages from Redwood, and also happens to be the first private Residential Mortgage-Backed Security deal of the year. More…

Moody’s in the land of rising contrasts

So the other shoe is looking a little precarious in Japan, at least in terms of the credit-rating world.

As the FT reports on Tuesday:
Moody’s has warned it might cut its sovereign debt rating for Japan, More…

Snap news

Breaking pre-market news on Tuesday,

- BHP Billiton to buy Chesapeake shale gas assets for $4.75bn – statement.

- Moody’s changes Japan’s Aa2 rating outlook to negative – statement.

- Zurich Financial buys $1.67bn stake in Santander’s Latin American unit- statement. More…

CoCos at dawn

Moody’s on Monday:
For both securities, there is a persistent challenge for investors: how to determine the potential for loss when the triggers resulting in equity conversion are not transparent and allow for significant regulatory discretion. More…

Moody’s puts Antipodean banks on review

Fresh from Moody’s — a threat of bank downgrades Down Under (sorry).

The start of the rating agency’s statement:
Sydney, February 16, 2011 — Moody’s Investors Service has placed on review for possible downgrade the Aa1 long-term, More…