Sign in  Site tour  Register free

Principal content

Ambac, MBIA dodge a bullet at S&P

Ambac And MBIA Insurance ‘AA’ Ratings Affirmed And Taken Off CreditWatch; Outlook Negative

NEW YORK  Aug. 14, 2008–Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services said today it affirmed its ‘AA’ financial strength ratings on both MBIA Insurance Corp. More…

CDS report: Traders hold steady despite dismal economic news

This CDS report was written by Markit’s Gavan Nolan 

Credit markets were flat in both Europe and North America today, with some dismal economic news failing to trigger a broad-based sell-off.

The eurozone economy contracted for the first time since its formation nearly a decade ago, More…

Chart of the day: Surging US inflation

(H/T @JackRyanBauer)

The folks over at EconomPicData have produced some fine charts breaking down the components of July’s US consumer price inflation data.

Makes for grim viewing.

Related links: More…

Go West: US equities on the move

Where to put your money? Emerging markets like Brazil, Russia, India and China seem to be losing their shine on political uncertainty, lower commodity prices and concern that the U.S.’ subprime crisis is spreading outward. More…

Lunch Wrap

On FT Alphaville this morning,

- Deutsche bulges: how shrunken financial pie might be re-cut post-Crunch.

- Hormonal traders, redux.

- US foreclosures jump in July… as house prices tumble.

- Goldbugs, More…

Markets live transcript 14 Aug 2008

Markets live chat transcript for the chat ending at 12:01 on 14 Aug 2008. Participants in this chat were: Paul Murphy (PM) Bryce Elder (BE)   PM:testing    PM:testing    PM:See my tan hasnt washed off yet  More…

Sic transit gloria Cheesegrater

From British Land this morning:

At 122 Leadenhall demolition and preparation of the sub-structure is proceeding satisfactorily; however, we are reviewing timing of construction and target completion in order to optimise cost and occupational demand. More…

Markets Live at 11am

Yes, FT Alphaville’s daily market chat is back in business after a short summer break.

Help Bryce Elder help Paul Murphy to catch up with events. There is much speculation to discuss.

Hit the tab above or click here at 11am. More…

US foreclosure activity jumps in July as house prices tumble

Foreclosure filings in the US rose 8 per cent month-on-month in July, and 55 per cent compared with the same period a year ago, according to the latest data from RealtyTrac.

On a more granular level, More…

Deutsche bulges

It’s turning into one of the themes of the summer: how a shrunken financial pie might be re-cut post-Crunch. And on Thursday analysts at Bernstein went so far as to suggest that this reallocation of revenue could prove to be the most significant longer-term consequence of the current IB mess. More…

Traders betting China’s Olympic efforts will be golden

China will have its Olympic rivals eating (gold) dust, if the prediction markets over at tradesports.com are to be believed.

The odds are strongly in favour of the home team, with China having a 79 per cent probability of winning the most gold medals, More…

Hormone bubbles

We’re not sure how new this is but thought it might be worthwhile given talk of oil bubbles, China bubbles, hyper-bubbles, et al. recently.

From New Scientist, via Infectious Greed, and further reinforcing the notion that traders are more jacked up on hormones and herd mentality than a Texan longhorn. More…

Further reading

Elsewhere on Thursday,

- “Insolvent versus profoundly insolvent: Fannie Mae, part I, part II, part III”

- “If the “subprime crisis” was about “exotic securities,” the “Alt-A crisis” is going to be about bank balance sheets. More…

Pink Picks

Comment and analysis from Thursday’s FT:

Editorial Comment: Shoot the doves
That the Bank of England will get its interest rate policy wrong is highly likely, so uncertain are the prospects for the economy. More…

US banks near ARS settlement

JPMorgan and Morgan Stanley were Wednesday night nearing settlements with regulators to buy back billions of dollars worth of auction rate securities from investors, people briefed on the negotiations said. More…

Hollywood in $1bn 3-D push

A consortium of the biggest US cinema chains is closing in on a $1bn deal that will pave the way for a new generation of money-spinning 3-D movies, after securing provisional backing from three key Hollywood studios. More…

UnionBanCal rejects MUFJ’s $3bn bid

UnionBanCal, California’s second-largest bank, rejected Mitsubishi UFJ Financial Group’s $3bn bid to buy full control of the lender as too low, reports Bloomberg. The $63-a-share offer is “not in the best interest of UnionBanCal’s minority stockholders,” More…

Bleak Bank forecast sends pound lower

Sterling plunged against the euro and the dollar on Wednesday as the Bank of England gave its bleakest economic assessment for more than a decade and financial markets priced in a series of interest rate cuts. More…

Merrill survey sees world downturn

A global recession is widely expected by fund managers as the credit crunch marks its anniversary by mutating from a financial crisis into a world economic downturn, Merrill Lynch reckons. Almost one-quarter More…

Genentech rejects $44bn offer by Roche

Genentech on Wednesday rejected an unsolicited $43.7bn takeover bid from its majority owner Roche but suggested it would consider a higher offer. The US group, one of the world’s largest biotechnology companies, More…

Greenspan sees bottom to house price slump

Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve chairman expects that US house prices will begin to stabilise in the first half of next year, the Wall Street Journal reports. “Home prices in the US are likely to start to stabilise or touch bottom sometime in the first half of 2009,” More…

Apollo to face grilling over Dutch fund

Apollo Global Management, the private equity group, will on Thursday face questions from investors about the fate of its poorly performing Amsterdam-listed fund after its US parent company revealed a first-quarter loss of $96.4m. More…

SEC short selling rule made little impact

US regulators’ move to restrict “naked” short selling in 19 financial stocks had little impact on prices according to a study, although trading was down 63 per cent during the period the rule was implemented, More…

RBS fails to offload Australian and NZ assets

Royal Bank of Scotland’s efforts to offload businesses suffered a setback on Wednesday when the UK banking group scrapped the sale of its operations in Australia and New Zealand after the last remaining bidder dropped out. More…

Lonmin’s chairman hits back at critics

Sir John Craven, chairman of Lonmin, accused the City of short-termism and defended the performance of the platinum mining group, which is facing a £5bn hostile takeover bid from Xstrata. In an interview with the FT in which he set out Lonmin’s defence strategy, More…

HBOS to axe 425 jobs

HBOS, the UK’s biggest mortgage lender, is to cut 425 jobs and close one of its five mortgage brands to new business as it aims to streamline costs. The bank, which recently reported a 72 per cent slump in first-half profits to £848m and saw its £4bn rights issue shunned by most investors, More…

Vultures circle distressed debt

Since the credit crunch hit last year, the distressed debt industry has been undergoing a somewhat surprising shake-up. In recent months, bankers in distressed debt trading, research or proprietary investing have been quietly leaving long-held positions. More…

Overnight markets

Asian markets (Thurs)
03:20am BST
Nikkei down 39.16 at 12,983.89
Topix down 7.08 at 1,239.40
Hang Seng down 41.00 at 21,252.32

US markets (Wed)
DJIA down 109.51 at 11,532.96
Nasdaq down 1.99 at More…