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This is – to put it mildly – audacious. And there is little doubt that American consumers would benefit from more wireless spectrum capacity.

But also to put it mildly it is a massive lean on the American taxpayer. You see if the spectrum had been auctioned like traditional spectrum the taxpayer would have received billions of dollars – dollars that will might now flow to Lightsquared and Falcone. Rarely have I seen taxpayers give away larger gifts to corporates (and that includes the banks) but in this case they are giving the gift to one slightly compromised billionaire and his hedge-fund clients. It is really hard – nay impossible – to see any policy basis for that gift.

The sheer size of the inflation target undershoot that was projected in
November means we continue to expect a QE expansion this week – there has
not been anywhere near enough positive news on the economy to close the
projected gap, in our view. However, the recent indications that the MPC
has become less alarmed with the outlook make us lean towards 50bn as
being the most likely amount.

But on any measure, there is precious little evidence that it is working.

For instance, lending to consumers fell £377 million in December. Even worse, year-on-year borrowing by consumers has taken a lurch back down, even from the low levels it had achieved in 2010/2011, which in itself was a fifth of the peak in 2004.

So whatever QE was meant to achieve, all it has really done is transfer a large amount of capital risk (duration) out of the hands of the private sector and into the hands of the state, through the agency of the Bank.