Or just more Fed easing. Or bubbles. Or even a buyers’ strike.
After Tuesday’s FOMC statement, yields did this — from short to long.
The five-year:
And the seven-year:
And the bench-mark 10-year:
And the 30-year — which bucked the plummeting-yield trend:
Are you sensing a pattern yet?
Because bond traders certainly seem to be.
As for the yield curve — there’s a short/long-dated disconnect there too.
On the bench-mark yield curve, the spread between two-year and 10-year yields fell to 223 basis points on Tuesday — indicating the flattest curve in more than a year:
But the difference between 10- and 30-year USTs increased to 124 basis points:
There be . . . err, confusion.
Related links:
Deflationary fears send Treasuries off the charts – FT
Quantitative nothingness and the yield curve’s reaction – Mish
Credit Suisse’s Garthwaite does QE II – FT Alphaville
‘A lively debate followed,’ or, fun with Treasuries - FT Alphaville






