Only a little wobble — but you can see it here in this chart from Intrade, the predictions market.
Having spiked to a perceived 92 per cent chance that Cameron & Co. will win the general election, the Tories’ “price” sold off to 89:
Of course, 89 per cent is pretty overwhelming, especially when Intrade’s Labour contract is sitting at 9.5 in the middle, with the LibDems at 1.5.
And Cameron’s price has enjoyed pretty good momentum for more than two years now:
But, you ask, what about the chances of a hung parliament?
Intrade doesn’t do a market in that. The service is largely aimed at American punters and they don’t know what a “hung parliament” is.
Related links:
Election Night Live!- Neil Hume and Paul Murphy
UK general election 2010 – In depth coverage on FT.com
Westminster blog – Jim Pickard and Alex Barker
The price of Blankfeins… – FT Alphaville


