February 8th, 2010
Feinberg on Blankfein: fail (maybe)
Here’s US pay czar Kenneth Feinberg, talking about Lloyd Blankfein’s $9m pay packet to Betty Liu on Bloomberg TV.
Yes, he thinks it’s excessive, but he’s cheered by the fact the package is made up of a very low base salary and long-term stock.
[South Africa 2010] The World Cup pairs trade (ex-Spain)
New research published by the Paris-based equity strategy team at Societe Generale suggests the common assumption that the (non-American) football World Cup has a positive economic impact on the host and winner countries is actually false.
China’s metropoli bubble fear
We believe that we now have a bubble in many cities, particularly the big ones. The central government is trying to deflate these bubbles gently, rather than pop them. The fact that prices have been at these levels before suggests this can be accomplished,
Quote du jour, G7 ostrich edition
“The G7 countries are completely asleep at the wheel. I looked at the information they put out from their meeting I was absolutely shocked … they seem to show no awareness at all that much of Europe is facing a serious crisis and it’s not limited to Spain,
“Nada de lo que está ocurriendo en el mundo, incluidos los editoriales de periódicos extranjeros, es casual o inocente”
Spain is the victim of an international conspiracy focused on destroying the country’s economic standing and via that the euro.
That’s the plain and simple view of the Spanish government, or at least its Development minister,
TrimTabs vs the Bureau of Labor Statistics (Round 2)
Last Friday’s non-farm payroll numbers provided the market with the Bureau of Labor Statistics’ seasonally-adjusted revisions.
For US investment research firm TrimTabs, which publishes its own competing jobs estimates,
Spanish government cuts net debt issuance
Flashes out of Reuters on Monday suggest the Spanish Treasury has decided to cut the amount of money it will raise from the bond markets this year by 34 per cent:
RTRS-SPANISH TREASURY SAYS TO RAISE NET 76.8 BLN EUROS FROM MARKETS IN 2010,
Lunch wrap
On FT Alphaville on Monday morning,
- Abbey, Bungle and Leicester.
- Some surprisingly disappointing global metrics.
- More bonus neurosis: Thain and how times have changed.
- A different government view on CMBS.
Some surprisingly disappointing global metrics
UBS produces a nifty global economic surprise series, which tracks the frequency at which global statistics beat or miss consensus expectations.
The more times the figures beat, the better the momentum.
More bonus neurosis: Thain and how times have changed
He has been keeping a low profile since his ignominious exit from Merrill Lynch in early 2009. But who can forget John Thain, former Merrill Lynch CEO, of lavish-office-refurbishment fame.
Thain on Sunday was named chief executive of the CIT Group,
Overheard in the Long Room
The members of FT Alphaville’s private forum, the Long Room, enjoy (and regularly engage in) spirited debate. Here’s a selection of what’s been said and posted just recently:
- Moorad Choudhry, head of Treasury at Europe Arab Bank,
Markets Live transcript 8 Feb 2010
Markets Live chat transcript for the chat ending at 12:24 on 8 Feb 2010. Participants in this chat were: Bryce Elder Neil Hume, FT BEGood morning. BEIt’s 11.04am BEand time,
Abbey, Bungle & Leicester
Why is Santander considering a flotation of its operations in the UK? According to the spin in the weekend press, it is so that the Spanish bank can buy the 318-strong branch network that RBS is being forced to sell as a condition of the state aid it has received.
A different government view on CMBS
The United States Government Accountability Office published its report on the US government’s Troubled Asset Relief Program last Friday.
It’s a voluminous work, but definitely worth perusing if you have time as it offers some very interesting detail into the implementation of the Tarp and related programs thus far,
When G7 bond yields tell you nothing
UBS draws attention on Monday to the fact that widening G7 sovereign CDS spreads are as yet not being mirrored by rising bond yields.
That’s not to say that CDS are being mis-priced. There just happen to be other extenuating circumstances keeping yields low,
Bonus neurosis, revisited: Mine’s bigger than yours
After all the hoohah and wild reports about $100m pay-outs, Goldman Sachs on Friday made a big move against the backlash over its compensation practices, saying it would award chief executive Lloyd Blankfein a mere $9m stock bonus for 2009,
Further reading
Elsewhere on Monday,
- Europe risks another global depression.
- But it’s great news for America’s debt binge…
- Ironic headline of the day.
-The inexact science of economics.
- Mauldin:
Pink picks
Comment, analysis and other offerings from Monday’s FT,
Henny Sender: Obama push poses a threat to Goldman
The Obama administration’s push for a separation of banking and “speculative” financial activities,
Snap news
Breaking pre-market news on Monday,
- Xstrata full-year profit falls 41 per cent to $2.7bn – statement.
- Anglo American supports Anglo Platinum’s $1.6bn rights offer – statement.
- Espirito Santo proposes acquisition of controlling stake in Execution Noble – statement.