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The sovereign ‘Northern Rock’ funding model

Remember how Northern Rock proved that being too dependent on immediate short-financing was not necessarily a good idea? Remember this chart from the funding model, so noticeably reliant on sub-3-month money?

Northern Rock funding model - HMT

Now, while it is quite safe to assume that other banks have learned a lesson here, we do wonder whether certain sovereigns may be in danger of falling into the same short-term financing trap.

Note, for example, the current redemption schedule for US government marketable debt:

Outstanding US Treasury Debt - Monthly Statement of the public debt (November)

And look at Germany:

Outstanding, tradeable German Government Securities - German Finance Ministry

And now Japan:

JGB outstanding debt

All three of which manage to make the UK’s repayment schedule look eminently sensible:

UK Treasury Debt Outstanding

UK Treasury Debt Outstanding

As, for that matter, does the Greek plan:

Greek Redemption Schedule - Greek Public Debt Bulletin

Related links:
UK AAA rating safe for now says Moody’s
– FT Alphaville
Testing the AAA boundaries
– FT Alphaville

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