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Annals of unrealistic GDP forecasts, UK edition

UK Q1 GDP is out, and as feared has come in much worse than consensus expectations. Here’s the table from Reuters:

UK Q1 GDP - Reuters

Here’s the joyfully long-list of records that reading achieves:

* Biggest quarterly fall in GDP since Q3 1979
** Biggest annual fall in GDP since Q4 1980
*** Biggest quarterly fall in manufacturing output since  records began in 1948
**** Biggest quarterly fall in total production output since  Q1 1974
***** Biggest annual fall in total production output since  records began in 1948
****** Biggest quarterly fall in business services and  finance output since records began in 1983
******* Biggest quarterly fall in services output since Q3   1979 

And sterling is moving downwards so quickly it looks like the Reuters graphic has been taken over by a child on an ‘Etch a Sketch’.

Etch a Sketch cable

Related links:
HMT wakes up to smell the coffee – FT Alphaville
Time to smell the coffee over at HMT
- FT Alphaville
Gilt auction failure begins
– FT Alphaville
Darling GDP numbers – FT Alphaville

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