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Return of the short financials/long commodities punt?

Much talk today of a(nother) reversal in the fortunes of the short financials/long commodities position - the trade that lined the hedge fund coffers then sent them reeling come July (a la Harbinger).

The S&P financial index fell 1.1 per cent yesterday while commodities are heading for their biggest weekly gain in 33 years.

Basic MACD charts of crude and the S&P financial index show definite bullish and bearish signs emerging around Aug. 20 and Aug. 15, respectively:

Bloomberg - Crude MACD

Bloomberg - SPF Index MACD

Time to revive the trade? Those who resisted unwinding their positions in the midst of what some were calling a suckers’ rally may already be laughing all the way to the bank(s). Or not, ahem.

And coming later on FT Alphaville: Hedge fund failure Friday.

Update: Hedge fund failure Friday will now be hedge fund failure Tuesday.

Further reading:
Financials down but oil soars in volatile trading - FT