It’s fair to say that many of those following Argentina’s grand bond holdout battle have been simply flattened by this week’s turn of events.
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What we love about Bank of America Merrill Lynch’s ‘Liquid Insight’ team is that when they make calls on Treasuries and rates, they account for the impact of collateral markets and the repo effect — not to mention the general shortage of safe assets.
Take the following chart from their latest note: Read more
And the Societe Generale strategist (who says he will “resurface on the buy side early next year”) is going out in style — taking a leaf from the book of the order Blattodea.
From Dylan Grice’s last Popular Delusions note:
All good things come to an end, sadly. So it is with my time here alongside Albert, Andy and the rest of the gang at SG. I’m signing off, checking out, moving on to pastures new. It’s been a wonderful time. But after three years of trying to sound clever it’s time for me to do something altogether more difficult, and actually be clever. So early next year, I will join a small but outstanding investment practice. Naturally, I hope it will be a great success. But what makes a great success? Since there are few more accomplished species on earth than the lowly cockroach where better to start looking for an answer?
Live markets commentary from FT.com
Progress made on breaking EU deadlock || Stores lure Black Friday bargain hunters || Mersch joins ECB board || China stops filling strategic oil reserve || Fitch: Sony at greater risk than Panasonic || Walmart suspends India employees || Markets update || Opec’s new foothold in Asia || Sohn conference cheat sheet || Poker with Judge Griesa || Magnus on China’s investment cliff Read more
Asian shares higher || Progress made on EU budget deadlock || Argentina responds angrily to NY bond ruling || Anglo American shareholders want asset sales, cost cuts || Rothschild raises $270m for Bumi proposal || Dalman to take on executive duties at ENRC || Banks tout idea of sharing bond data || Olam says it can withstand ‘stress’ || Why milk costs €1.50 a litre in Greece Read more
Let’s say you took part in Argentina’s original, 2005 debt restructuring.
You exchanged your luckless bonds for securities worth around 30 cents of your original dollar. You took your lumps – and you checked, very carefully, the complicated payment structure designed to ensure the Republic can’t stiff you in the future. Read more